Quote:
Originally Posted by Guest
The only statistical reality anyone needs to know is democrats won the popular vote in five of the last six presidential elections, from 1992 to 2012. If Hillary Clinton wins, that will make it six out of seven. The exception was in 2004, George W Bush beat John Kerry, and we all know how that worked out.
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This article in the New Yorker magazine seems to take issue with your de facto deterministic approach ...
Here's the gist ...
"...It’s a data-driven article that examines what’s happening not only in Washington but in legislatures and statehouses around the country, which also have a significant impact on people’s lives. Trende and Byler conclude that the Republican Party is already stronger than it has been for many decades. With a good result in 2016, including a takeover of the White House, it could virtually sweep the board. Indeed, Trende and Byler say, the Republicans could end up in their strongest position since 1920, the year women got the vote."
Why 2016 Is So Very Important - The New Yorker
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