THIS does no sway me
"For now all eyes are on Iran, which has the fourth biggest oil reserves in the world. A big part of the nuclear deal is that the West will lift sanctions on Iran, allowing it to increase its oil exports. That could be a game changer by deepening the oversupply of oil and sending prices down even further."
Oil prices dive below $53 as Iran deal looms - Jul. 6, 2015
Point is, from what we are hearing there will be a deal.
Gotta be honest, I have been posting about this and my concerns. I cannot think of anything that might sway me.