Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Why Hillary Clinton is Clearly Qualfied to be President
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Old 07-07-2015, 10:23 AM
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Relative to the demographics that you mention. President Obama received 93% of the African American vote, which based on turnout figures equates to a lot of votes. There were about 2 million EXTRA BLACK VOTERS in 2012, and assumption is that was because of President Obama. President Obama won by 5 million.

She will need that turnout PLUS need to carry that same percentage to maintain the plurality advantage.

Same thing applies to the Hispanic vote. 71% of the over 11 million who voted were voting for Obama. That is another approx 8 million votes, so unless she is able to duplicate or increase the black turnout and margin as well as the Hispanic turnout and margin, I really do not see the demographic advantage you speak of. Fact is,without the dramatic increase in the black and Hispanic vote, President Obama does not win.

And perhaps it is nothing but rehash on her many many clouds. Time will tell, and time is one thing there is an abundance of in the 2016 cycle.

To speak on a more positive vein relative to your hopes I see where George Soros is throwing a few more million out ther to get out that vote, as I think professionals are also aware that if the blacks and Hispanics do not come out in record numbers, and vote as they did in 2012, it will not pan out so well.

Another thing to look out for. The crowds with Bernie Sanders may, and that is a big may, convince him he has a following that suggests a 3rd party run, especially on the socialist party. That would further inroad on Ms. Clinton.

You carefully omitted the women's vote which Obama won by 20 points. How much more or less of the women's vote will go to Hillary Clinton, and what is there in the republican platform that would appeal to any woman?