Seasonal hurricane predictions are in the same category as seasonal temperature and precipitation forecasts: there is skill as demonstrated by statistical analysis. I don't personally have experience with solar activity predictions but I would expect that there is also some demonstrated skill. Unless you are involved in that particular science your comparison to lottery predictions is pretty worthless. Sorry to be so blunt but it is what it is.
Quote:
Originally Posted by billethkid
No differentthan the cheif meteorologists attempting to predict how many hurricanes there will be each year.
Knowing what the sun did is a major task unto itself. Imagine the data/info kept over the last thousand years!
I would categorize predicting what the sun will do to be about as productive as predicting who will win the lottery.
|