Actually, you are mistaken. If the election was today (and it isn't) then ALL the Republicans would be voting for a single Republican candidate. And two important parts that you are not considering is that there will be a minute black turn out compared to what Obama drew. Second is, that you forget that she would not get the Independent vote she needs to win today. I also believe that Hillary would not get as many female voters to turn out for HER as she might have gotten a year or two or three ago. It seems that the closer we get to the elections, the less support she is getting. Her favorability is fading, fading, fading. It seems that you are already giving her the election, just as she arrogantly assumes that she has it in the bag. A lot of factors can change. Biden might enter the race. She might go to jail (not likely).

Predicting Hillary's win this early is way too premature. I will predict that in about two weeks, it will be predicted that she would ether tie or lose to one of the Republicans. Then her party leaders will do a reassessment and consider dropping her for another Democrat, possibly Biden. And that won't bother me at all. Not that I would welcome his winning the election, but he would be better than what we have in there now and much better than Hillary.