Originally Posted by Guest

First digging up anything on Hillary Clinton is not a difficult task, and you mention Fox but seems to be that the bastion of left wing news, New York Times is sort of leading the pack at this point, but you cannot see that I suppose.

Seondly to answer your specific question and all of this is subject to the election BEING A YEAR and half away....

Much lower voter turnout than in 2008 and 2012
Much lower black voter turnout than in 2008 and 2012.
Much higher conservative voter turnout

President Obama won by 4 percentage points in 2012. 2 percent loss or 2% gain means a tie.

Seems simple...hope that answers your question

OH....and by the way.....read the Democratic blogs. They doubt in Hillary Clinton.....they are pushing more candidates in....