Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Election Betting Odds
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Old 03-02-2016, 06:30 AM
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Turnout was about 370,000, according to Edison Research — modest compared with the 532,000 ballots cast in the Clinton-Obama primary race here in 2008, and well below the record 743,000 votes cast in South Carolina’s Republican primary last Saturday, which Mr. Trump won.

Republicans have had large voter turnouts, so it's going to be interesting to see how Hillary is going to beat any of the Republicans, when she has half the voter turnout of 2008. As a matter of fact, the Dems have thousands of additional registered compared to 2008, but in reality only about a 30% turnout in SC. It will be interesting to see how many turn out this week.
A party's primary turnout is higher when the race is competitive--both of which are true on the Republican side.


More candidates in the race means more candidates for voters to choose from and get excited about, and more resources directed at turning their party's voters out. With more than a dozen candidates in the GOP race in Iowa, for example, each campaign had field staffers on the ground and people whose jobs it was to make sure they turned out every supporter they could. So clearly, the Republicans with so many candidates in the fray, will have a greater turnout in the primaries, particularly with Trump running. Many people will vote in the primaries either because the love him, or because they hate him and want to make sure someone else gets their vote.