Originally Posted by Guest

you are pehaps by design indicating the dems are unified with no splintering?

There is most definitely a group of honest open minded democrats that are against Clinton.

Remember the last two elections were not landslides that democrats like to think. They were at best 2-3 percent......those dems who do not like Clinton are potentially much more than that difference.

The assumption of the dems is that Clinton will carry all the black votes. But she will not carry what Obama did. That in itself could also make up 2-3 percent.

Start adding the potentil up and the Michigan forecast of a double digit lead by Clinton which evaporated over night because of the above factors....will very likely be a similar result in the actual election.

The current dems are under estimating the percentage of their own party that will not vote for Clinton that did vote for Obama.