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Old 06-06-2016, 08:41 AM
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Default Are meteorologists alarmists?

They aren't being alarmists. If one reads the content of the NOAA alert, and the most recent release from the Sumter County Emergency Operations Center, you'll see a number of important points:
1) TV is well within the impact zone of Tropical Storm Colin, which will travel north of us.
2) we are on the side of the storm which will receive the brunt of the storms force.
3) with the possibility of 4+ inches of rain comes the possibility of localized flooding.
4) it is not uncommon for storms like this to throw off tornadoes.
Better to be prepared. Do you and your family have a plan?

Here's the 8:30 AM Warning for our area.

Tropical Storm Warning
COLIN LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL AL032016
827 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

FLZ043-062030-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SUMTER-
827 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- WILDWOOD
- LAKE PANASOFFKEE
- BUSHNELL

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
- PEAK WIND FORECAST: 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH

- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: MODERATE
- THE WIND THREAT HAS INCREASED FROM THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
- REMAIN BRACED AGAINST THE REASONABLE THREAT FOR STRONG
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND OF 58 TO 73 MPH.
- TO BE SAFE, EFFORTS SHOULD FULLY FOCUS ON PROTECTING LIFE.
PROPERTIES REMAIN SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT WIND IMPACTS.
- NOW IS THE TIME TO HIDE FROM THE WIND. FAILURE TO
ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY, OR IN SOME
CASES LOSS OF LIFE. REMAIN SHELTERED UNTIL THE HAZARDOUS
WIND SUBSIDES.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: UNFOLDING
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE UNFOLDING.
- THE EXTENT OF REALIZED IMPACTS WILL DEPEND ON THE ACTUAL
STRENGTH, DURATION, AND EXPOSURE OF THE WIND AS EXPERIENCED
AT PARTICULAR LOCATIONS.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
- PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL 3-5 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS

- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: MODERATE
- THE FLOODING RAIN THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM
THE PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
- EMERGENCY CONSIDERATIONS SHOULD INCLUDE A THREAT OF
FLOODING.
- BE SAFE AND REMAIN READY TO PROTECT AGAINST FLOODING RAIN
IMPACTS.
- IF FLOOD RELATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT, HEED
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS
AND RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH
SWIFTER CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES,
ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS,
CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN
FOUNDATIONS. SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS
OF RAPID INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON
MOVING WATER AS STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW.
DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE
CLOSURES.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- SITUATION IS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES

- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: MODERATE
- THE TORNADO THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
- EMERGENCY CONSIDERATIONS SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT
FOR TORNADOES.
- BE SAFE AND REMAIN READY TO PROTECT AGAINST TORNADO
IMPACTS. STAY INFORMED.
- LISTEN FOR TORNADO WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF A TORNADO
APPROACHES, QUICKLY MOVE TO THE SAFEST PLACE WITHIN YOUR
SHELTER.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT
- THE OCCURRENCE OF SCATTERED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE
EXECUTION OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
- SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW
SPOTS OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND
COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.
- LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS TORN OFF FRAME HOUSES, MOBILE
HOMES DEMOLISHED, BOXCARS OVERTURNED, LARGE TREES SNAPPED
OR UPROOTED, VEHICLES TUMBLED, AND SMALL BOATS TOSSED
ABOUT. DANGEROUS PROJECTILES CAN ADD TO THE TOLL.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW

$$




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Last edited by dbussone; 06-06-2016 at 08:48 AM.