Quote:
Originally Posted by Guest
When I think of polls, I am reminded that these are phone calls to people that may or may not even show up to vote. Hillary is getting maybe a hundred or two to show up for her rallies. Trump gets thousands. Wonder who will show up to vote in Nov. Do you really think that blacks are going to come out to support Hillary like they did Obama? That was a freak occurrence based on his color, not his party. The real polls are the EXIT polls.
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First, and I am not twisting this in any way..just being up front.
Crowds at rallies mean nothing at all. That you have to understand, especially this year with an entertainer speaking and avoiding the hum drum of actually talking issues. You are not swaying anyone...you are entertains them.
Second, in our country, the election is decided by the electoral college. It is at this time a bit skewed toward Democrats, and whomever would be the GOP candidate would need to overcome that. Trump will have a difficult job overcoming that.
Thirdly, Democrats have the "ground game". Trump has hardly any and shows no interest in that. That ground game gets out the vote for one thing.
Lastly, Clinton is speaking to smaller groups but discussing issues. That sways votes. You don't see them covered much but that is how votes are swayed.