Quote:
Originally Posted by tuccillo
Yes, we are staying in The Villages.
The 00Z cycle of the NWS spectral code will be available in about 2 hours. In the 11PM NHC forecast discussion, the forecasters are forecasting a pretty rapid drop in max wind speed after landfall. Here are the wind forecasts:
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 08/0300Z 21.3N 72.4W 145 KT 165 MPH
12H 08/1200Z 21.8N 74.4W 145 KT 165 MPH
24H 09/0000Z 22.3N 76.7W 140 KT 160 MPH
36H 09/1200Z 22.9N 78.6W 135 KT 155 MPH
48H 10/0000Z 23.7N 79.9W 135 KT 155 MPH
72H 11/0000Z 27.2N 81.1W 100 KT 115 MPH...INLAND
96H 12/0000Z 32.0N 83.5W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
120H 13/0000Z 35.5N 86.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
00Z the 11th is Sunday evening at 8PM and the position is south of us over Lake Okeechobee. These times correspond to the forecast track positions in the following link.
HURRICANE IRMA
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I just saw on the Weather Channel where we could have 100mph+ winds...even here.
It's so big, that it can get energy from both the Gulf and the Atlantic....since it's only 140 miles from one to the other here in The Villages.
I'm just accepting that I might lose shingles/part of my roof, maybe some windows, wind-driven water damage...but it shouldn't be life-threatening (minus tornadoes).
Anything less than that...and I'll feel lucky.