Re: Well here we go again - GUSTAV will soon be a tropical storm.
Gustav has blossomed into a hurricane within 24 hrs - actuallly he is already beyond class 1 initial wind levels and is headed for class 2 with winds at 90 kts this AM. Entry level for class 1 is 74 kts.
A high pressure system over SE FL will initially keep Gustav on a westerly track which means it can swing into the Gulf or continue on toward Mexico.
The line of lows above FL are not yet linked, but I believe they will.
The jet stream 300mbs is tracking high on the US and may help to keep the lows from influencing Gustav meaning that this will mitgate Gustav from a Northerly turn - in which case it would track WNW.
PAY ATTENTION - Gustav is a significant cyclonic and I expect it to continue to strengthen.
As usual I encourage you to use all resources to stay abreast of conditions.
Remember the path has shifted slightly south and it does not look like there will be any terrain which would degrade Gustav, and the waters south of Cuba are warm which will help Gustav strengthen.
I rate this alert as 60% sccurate.
Peter
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Lexington MA, Chelmsford MA, Nashua NH, The Villages, Florida
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