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Originally Posted by Carl in Tampa
The article does not explain the methodology by which the statistics were assembled.
I would lean towards working from history. Tampa has not experienced a direct hurricane hit since 1921. In contrast, Hurricane Irma struck Lake County in September 2017, doing two million dollars worth of damage in Leesburg, and thirty-five million dollars worth of damage in Lake County. The southeast portion of The Villages is in Lake County.
Who has been safer?
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Tampa Bay area rated nation's most vulnerable to hurricane storm surge
With $175 billion in potential losses, Tampa Bay is the most vulnerable metro area in the nation to storm surge floods caused by a once-in-a-century hurricane.
That's the conclusion from a recent study by Karen Clark & Co. (KCC), a Boston-based firm that specializes in modeling the likely property damage and losses from windstorms, earthquakes and other catastrophes for the insurance industry.
Analysts estimate Tampa could suffer higher losses than New Orleans or New York City, the next two most vulnerable cities on the KCC list
Tampa Bay area rated nation's most vulnerable to hurricane storm surge
sooner or later your luck runs out