I understand "buildout" is somewhere between 2014 and 2016, depending on the economy and the rate of sales over the next few years. We are at the very beginning of the the "boomer" wave nationwide which will extend at least to 2020.
At that point in time, the "average" house in TV will be about 15 to 20 years old. The average age of the occupants will be rising as well. In the new neighborhoods the average age is proabably around 62, including full and part timers. In the older villages, the average age is well into the seventies. Yes, there is the occasional resale to younger buyers. But I would guess most buyers would rather live in neighborhoods of 60-year-olds than 80-year-olds if they have a choice. The average age of the entire community, not just the older sections, in 2020 is likely to be in the high 70s if not low 80s.
Ya gotta wonder whether retiring yuppies, and gen Xers will want to live among people that old. By then, many of the deed restrictions, including age restrictions may be expiring in the older neighborhoods, allowing younger families to move in. What do you know about the perpetualness of our present age restrictions? That would have a HUGE bearing on the future of TV. Maybe by 2030, that change (elimination of age restrictions) will be needed to maintain a market for resale here.
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Brockton, MA 1946-49 * Fort Lauderdale 1950-66 * Northern Virginia (Army) 1967-69 * North Lauderdale 1970-72 * Coconut Creek 1973-87 * St. Louis 1988-89 # Northern Virginia (again) 1990-2000 * Destin, FL 2001-08 * The Villages - Amelia/Hadley
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