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Old 03-08-2020, 02:00 PM
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Originally Posted by blueash View Post
Not sure what kind of Dr. you might be... There is no such thing as a contaminate policy. There are procedures to control and clean up contamination. And there are containment policies. If you are going to post using what might lead readers to think you are a medical professional it would behoove you to use the word you mean every time. Containment is possible with Ebola because its disease manifestations are dramatic and rapid and its transmission requires a significant non-casual exposure. Containment is not possible with an organism that has a longer incubation period during which the patient is contagious, many cases are of low severity or sub-clinical, and spread is possible from casual contact. Corona is not Ebola. The containment option continues to be viable in small confinable outbreaks, like a cruise ship. But once corona is in the community at large it will do what it is going to do. And that is the unknown. Will it be a mild disease in most everyone and disappear from circulation like SARS and MERS did? Or will it be intense and severe moving from town to town and become a true devastating pandemic like Spanish flu did 100 years ago. We'll know in a few weeks or months. I am thinking this will fizzle but you can't count on it and must prepare for the pandemic alternative. That means a well funded CDC, well funded state and local health departments staffed by professionals trained in public health and available epidemiologists and infectious disease experts. And perhaps that those guiding the nation's response to Corona not treat a visit to the CDC as a partisan campaign event.

The Ebola vaccine which you credit with arresting the disease has only been approved in the US in Dec 2019. So it had nothing whatsoever with protecting the US during 2016's Ebola scare. It, or a similar experimental vaccine, had been used in Africa in areas with endemic and epidemic Ebola to prove efficacy beginning in 2015 that vaccinated contacts and contacts of contacts to known cases. There has not been any widespread immunization campaign in Africa.
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