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Thread: CDC Flu numbers
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Old 03-28-2020, 08:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rlcooper70 View Post
Are you implying the CDC does not know the estimates for the regular winter flu? Or are you saying this virus is not much more lethal than the normal flu? Normal Flu season ... 1.3% to 1.4% mortality. This one appears to be between 3.2% and 4.5%. And many more will get this one because of the long assymtomatic incubation period. If you refuse to take it seriously ..... how does that make sense?
Still not quite right. Using the average of the numbers from the posted CDC link, the death rate from the seasonal flu would be almost .1% - not 1.3% to 1.4%. The death rate from OCVID-19 is harder to find, but sources seem to estimate approximately 2% to as much as 7%. Using the lowest of those estimates, the COVID-19 death rate would be 20 times higher than the flu. Even if we assume that 50% of CV infections go unreported, the death rate could still be 10 times more than the flu. If CV proves to be as infectious as the flu and nothing were done to control the spread, the deaths (again using the CDC's average number of yearly flu cases & a 2% death rate) could be nearly 1 million. That is why there is such worldwide 'panic'.