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Old 04-01-2020, 11:03 AM
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blueash blueash is offline
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Originally Posted by nututv View Post
Jury is still out on that one as it's impossible to tell how many have had it and gotten over it.
No one yet has the correct data to figure this out yet.
At current numbers, 10x more lethal is still below 1%.
While you are certainly entitled to feel like this is nothing more than a bad flu, and to point out that beestings and car wrecks are killers also, your comments suggest to me a lack of understanding of the potential of Covid. It is not just a bad flu. Flu can be prevented with vaccines and treated with well tested medications. And despite those situations still kills over 30,000 Americans each year. Flu never fills hospitals with so many sick patients that they run out of ICU beds, run out of ventilators, have doctors, nurses and others dying. At least not since 1918.

Flu doesn't do what happened in Wuhan, and Italy, and on the Princess ship, and now in NYC. This disease is much more contagious than influenza and much more lethal. As essentially no one is naturally resistant to Covid and it spreads easily.

If you have never taken the opportunity to read about the 1918 flu it is worth doing now. Of course we all say it couldn't happen again because we have antibiotics and it was bacterial superinfection on top of viral influenza that actually killed most of the victims. Covid kills almost always on its own. Patients don't die from bacterial superinfections like in 1918, this virus kills by itself. Think smallpox, think Ebola.

Social distancing is going to help. We will have fewer cases but more importantly we will have a low wide wave not a high narrow one. It might be NYC now, and Detroit in a few weeks, and Omaha at the end of April. It is going to spread. But now that Detroit and Omaha are taking precautions, they won't end up like NYC which didn't have time to blunt the curve.

When this is done, and if only 250,000 Americans have died which is now the White House estimate, you can say, See only 10 times worse than a regular flu. And you'd still be wrong. Because without the dramatic interventions it would have been so very much higher.
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