I built a simple viral spread model for Massachusetts, 4 weeks ago, and the difference with and without social distancing is immense. The model also predicted the same time frame for max as the current thinking with social distance. The virus is very much an indoor urban disease, where close interactions and enclosed spaces induce the spread. The villages being very outdoorsy is contributing to the reduced spread. The virus is killed by ultraviolet light, by medical sources, and the outside world invaded for winter months just prior to widespread infections. So I actually believe the villages is an ideal location for avoiding the disease, with outside activity and social distancing. The only downside of the villages is the increased behavioral bias of attribution which comes with age.
sportsguy's opinion and beliefs.
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