Quote:
Originally Posted by roscoguy
Second, everybody has a 99.9% chance of surviving the flu as the mortality rate in the U.S. is about 0.1%, or 1 in 1,000 people that become infected. COVID-19 has an estimated mortality rate of 1% by the most optimistic estimates. This is, at minimum, 10 times as high as the flu, or 1 in every 100 who become infected.
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There is NO DATA to support this statement. We have absolutely no idea how many people have been exposed to the virus at this point. We only know how many people have tested positive. Increased testing for the disease and an antibody test that helps us know how many people have been infected will give us the necessary data to accurately determine the denominator. Until then, statements like this are uninformed at best.
In addition, everybody does NOT have a 99.9% chance of surviving the flu. You're taking a population based probability and assigning it to each and every individual which is simply not how it works. If that were the case the mortality rates would be the same for all demographics.