Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - As the governor loosens the reigns...
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Old 04-19-2020, 11:12 AM
miharris miharris is offline
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Default Math

Quote:
Originally Posted by OrangeBlossomBaby View Post
That's a HUGE difference.
748 Floridians died in a single month, to COVID-19.
3082 Floridians died in an entire year, from the flu. And while flu season is a limited season, anyone can actually catch it any time of year.

If we were to compare, we have to do the math. Can't multiply 748 by 12 months because the flu _is_ seasonal, which means very small number dying from it outside the season.

So we'll divide the flu numbers by 12 to get a monthly average.

3082/12=256

So - the flu's monthly average death rate is 256.

Compare with COVID's average death rate of 748.

That's juuuust slightly lower than 150% higher death rate for COVID-19.
According to the CDC, the average flu season lasts for about 16 weeks, or 4 months, when you see about 80% of the fatalities. So 80% of 3082 is 2456. Divided by 4 months is 616, so pretty close even without comparing peak to peak levels. Also the 748 number you are using is total deaths in the state so far, not a monthly number.