Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Thinking outside the box - accelerating back to normal
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Old 04-19-2020, 10:07 PM
OrangeBlossomBaby OrangeBlossomBaby is offline
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Originally Posted by Joelack99 View Post
So let’s think about this. Latest estimates show 43% or so of those with the virus have no symptoms, but are contagion spreaders. That’s ok. Of the remaining symptomatic folks (57%), 8 of 10 will have minor to very uncomfortable symptoms, but 20% will have severe enough symptoms to need hospitalization. That’s 20% of 57% or 11.4% of the Infected population. We have about 100,000 in The Villages but half of us won’t get it at all, so you only need to get 5,700 hospital rooms ready for that month or so when those people’s lives will depend on it. If you get that right, conservatively, 500 people will die and if you can’t handle that little rush most of the ones you don’t have rooms, med staff, ventilators and/or dialysis machines for will die, so instead of 500, we will probably lose more like 2,000 of our neighbors. By the way, these figures are based on estimates for the entire population, not a population of seniors like we have around here. So maybe 3-4,000 die...what’s a few more or less?

Now, as all this happens, the geniuses in charge are going to figure out this was a rather bad idea, so what will you get? More freedom, do you think? Or will we start all over with isolation which is what we are trying to escape? Don’t focus too much on these numbers, they are just guesstimates... if I’m off by 75% all the same sorts of things will happen and we’ll still be right back where we started.

So don’t listen to the selfish people who want to throw open the doors in the middle of the storm. Hunker down. Plan for another month or two til the worst of this is past, then be careful, gradual, safe as you move back into the world.

Also, pray for an effective therapy...there very well may well be one or more soon, which will change these numbers dramatically and allow us to get moving again.

Stay safe, friends.
And for those who pretend to be worried about all the people who are unemployed in some threads (while complaining about not being able to enjoy drinks at the squares in other threads) - feel free to give your stimulus checks to some of the unemployed folks. What's that, you say? You make too much money - as a retired person - to qualify for a stimulus check? Then - give some of your own money to some of the unemployed folks.

Or buy them groceries. Or go to the utility company and give them money to cover utility bills for 5 poverty-level households for the next two months. So many things you can do, if you truly want to help the unemployed. Forcing them to risk death just so you can eat at Demshar's is not one of those things.