Quote:
Originally Posted by Hopeful2
The Villages has 76 confirmed Coronavirus cases (as of Tuesday). The tri-county area has more than 500 confirmed cases to date.
It is critical to recognize the very high probability that every one of those people have passed it on to 2-3 people...who in turn, have passed it on ... and on ...exponentially. Many of those people are out and about in supermarkets, pharmacies, and in every corner of The Villages (even those that might not be Villages residents). The number of confirmed cases is only the tip of the iceberg, as testing has been woefully inadequate.
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A study was done in a large California city testing for COVID19 antibodies to prove an individual had and recovered from COVID19. Basically there were believed to be about 80 people that were infected with COVID19 and recovered with no medical care for each person that was symptomatic and requiring medical attention. 80 to 1. You can find the data reported in several sources.
This is actually a good thing, assuming it is accurate and representative of the nation as a whole. It suggest the virus is MUCH more prevalent that previously known and MUCH less deadly than previously known.
So your theory the virus spreading " to 2-3 people...who in turn, have passed it on ... and on" is probably correct and yet is not nearly as dire as you seem to think. Until a vaccine can be administered (in about a year from now) herd immunity is what will eventually slow and then stop the virus.
Curious why you think developing a test for a previously unknown virus, producing it, distributing it, and administering it to 1 in 300 people in the US in a period of about 50 days is woefully inadequate. More needs to be done for sure but I for one am impressed with the effort to date.