Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Up to 2.7 Million in New York May Have Been Infected, Antibody Study finds.
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Old 04-24-2020, 07:23 AM
MandoMan MandoMan is offline
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In 2007, during the George W. Bush administration, the CDC prepared guidelines for dealing with a pandemic. This was for many years the standard for such things as school, store, business, and restaurant closings, the use of social distancing, etc. if you read it, you will see that these guidelines are in line with what the CDC has been recommending from the beginning, and where followed, they have worked.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-res...igation-sm.pdf

It’s interesting that if the recent testing in NYC is correct, then, as the article says, the fatality rate is 0.5% (only five times the usual rate of flu deaths), instead of 2.0% (twenty times the usual rate of flu deaths.) according to the above link, that means this is a Category 3 pandemic, rather than a Category 5 (the top level), and the projected deaths go way down, and the difficulty of mitigation changes.

Here is the 2017 CDC update, which, again, we are pretty much following:

Community Mitigation Guidelines to Prevent Pandemic Influenza — United States, 2017 | MMWR

It cheers me to know that the mitigation efforts in the few months have been based on careful planning, rather than on a group of panicking people trying out ideas as they occur to them.