Basically, the world will be back to the new normal when there is a solid testing abilities and a solid recovery protocols minimizing the risks of poor outcomes. The world is working towards that outcome, but there is no centralized plan nor predictive date for that scenario. Just the general free market goal.
Our summer vacation this year is currently a driving to destination vacation, which was booked prior to the pandemic, and yes, we will go. We have flights and hotels booked in Iceland in October. Yes, we will go.
Flying is very different type of experience than cruise with respect to a virus. With flying you will get off the plane when you get to your destination after a short time in the air, with a ship, that is a very different probability. You may not be able to get off the ship at your destination or at the scheduled departure time. You might not get out of your stateroom, So, flying yes, cruise ships, maybe again in a year or two, no rush, and the trip is from England through the Baltic Sea.
But linking the two together as having the same risk profile is failure of attribution behavioral bias.
sportsguy's opinion
|