Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Reality Check on Covid 19
Thread: Reality Check on Covid 19
View Single Post
 
Old 04-27-2020, 11:12 PM
chet2020 chet2020 is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2020
Posts: 208
Thanks: 178
Thanked 194 Times in 93 Posts
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by biker1 View Post
No, there is not a 9.2% chance the you will come down with COVID-19. Of those who have been tested, 9.2% in FL are positive but the only people (mostly) who are being tested are those who are symptomatic. Nobody knows the odds (yet) of testing positive for COVID-19 if you are asymptomatic.
According to an antibody study of Miami-Dade County, 6% of the residents there were exposed enough to the virus to generate antibodies. This was 15X the number of positive virus tests. So you could crudely guess your odds of contracting the virus is 0.4% - if you lived in Miami-Dade County. TV is not as "hot" as Miami-Dade, so lower your odds further, and social distancing lowers your odds way further.