Quote:
Originally Posted by EdFNJ
You might want to INCREASE your odds by the number of people who are carriers and have never been tested because they are asymptomatic or presymptomatic. And NO ONE knows yet if having antibodies means bupkis.*
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I was not speaking to antibodies conferring immunity (although I agree with Eagles). I was using positive antibody tests as a denominator for roughing out calculations. It is a fairly fixed number (that will rise over time) and it covers the scenario you allude to - that a huge number of people were exposed to the virus and never got the virus test.