Quote:
Originally Posted by Aloha1
You cannot divide by 12 since the flu season typical ends in mid February and starts up again in mid October. 2018 is the only yearly data available and that was a fairly mild flu season. So, the over 3,000 flu deaths generally occurred within a 4 to 5 month time frame. Divide by 5 and you get 600 deaths on average. The Wuhan virus data is actually the total cases from January to date, so let's say 4 months divided into 748 gives an average of 187 deaths per month.
Now, we both know that you can't really look at a monthly average since there are spikes in both diseases during the active period. My point is, it is too early to determine the true scope of this virus versus the flu.
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Flu season is October through as late as May. Pick the months that make your math work
