Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - An Economic Question
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Old 12-06-2008, 11:22 AM
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Originally Posted by SteveZ View Post
We talk a lot about "choices," but the reality is the discussion is about "risk."

When we buy property with the idea that it will always increase in value, so the debt-to-equity ratio at time of purchase doesn't matter, that's a risk.

Where I grew up (in Boston) I can remember houses in the '60s and 70's where the value tanked and folks lost money. It happens.

Where I work and have a house (outside DC) the house I'm selling will result in an over-$100K loss from the original purchase price. My friend who came to DC with me chose to rent instead of buy. In the end, his overall housing costs will be much less than mine. It happens.

Friends who have "invested" (high-class word for "gamble") in stock, mutual funds, etc. which were to provide a rate-of-return higher than the run-of-the-mill savings account ignored the disclaimer that there is no guarantee now have paper-property worth much less than the amount "invested." It happens.

It's a tough fact of life that there are no guarantees in this world when it comes to money, value of property, profits to be made, or catastrophes (physical or financial). The younger the person, the greater the tendency to consider yourself immortal and/or immune to harm. The older the person, the greater the tendency to believe they are better-the average at assessing risks and good gamblers, and the mutual fund salesmen live on that perception, as do those who build casinos (who are their most frequent customers?) - as well as all of those credit card companies who flood mailboxes with "great" opportunities.

It's a shame that life can't be a rosy path to greater security, prosperity, property, et al. There's a lot of potholes and speed bumps on the path.

It's a jungle out there....
True stevez, the "choice" a lot of people made was to take the "risk." Your quote on "no guarantees in life" is just what life is. I have friends that have bought homes without selling their condos first. They took a risk. They're both regretting the move because 3 years later they still haven't sold the condos.
Another friend is dieing of leukemia and bought a home in Port Charllote, FL with an interest only loan. How dumb can one get? It's been empty for 2 years and he walked away from the loan last month. He took the risk, even after asking my advice, and now whines about the $65K loss.
These people made "choices" that involved "risk" and lost. That's life.