Quote:
Originally Posted by billethkid
I suspect the warming trend in the weather could be a factor of some significance that is a common denominator for most locations presented.
We won't know for sure until we have gone a full cycle.
We could also be witnessing the trends established during the pre shut down and post shut down implementation and effect(s).
Again the longer the cycle measured the more will be learned.
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I'm not sure about the warming trend thing. I recall a study that said chances of infection start to go down at 77 degrees or so. New York City has only reached that temperature once this year, on May 15. March and April had highs in 50s and 60s yet their daily death and case numbers started falling at the beginning of April. Miami area has the most cases in Florida and they've had highs in the 80s and 90s since March.
Sweden, which did not lockdown, has gone from a high of 98 daily
deaths in mid March to 53 yesterday. I'm not sure that's a lockdown effect.