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Old 05-23-2020, 08:58 PM
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LiverpoolWalrus LiverpoolWalrus is offline
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Originally Posted by GoodLife
"Yes, but Sweden did not lockdown, did not overwhelm their hospitals, does not have vaccine and yet they show a similar rise and fall in deaths,"


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Originally Posted by Two Bills View Post
But their immediate neighbors did lock down, and had a lot less cases and deaths.
Germany, Austria, New Zealand, Australia etc. locked down early, and compared to many, had far lower instances of the virus, and minimal deaths per head of population.
Here in UK our 'experts' dithered over lockdown or herd immunity, and look what that did for us, and our hospitals were not overwhelmed either.
The curve may be nearly the same, but the numbers show that early lockdown reduced cases substancially.
I did a quick analysis myself the other day because I had been coming across reports that social distancing may not be effective. So I looked at death rates in Sweden, which hasn't locked down, and compared them with Sweden's Scandinavian neighbors. I concluded that social distancing may indeed be worthwhile. If this analysis is flawed, I'm all ears.

Population / Number of Covid deaths / Deaths per capita

Norway - 5.32M / 235 / .000044

Sweden - 9.96M / 3871/ .00039

Finland - 5.52M / 306/ .000055

Denmark - 5.62M / 561/ .00001
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