Quote:
Originally Posted by LiverpoolWalrus
We'll be able to draw a more informed conclusion as to whether the spike is attributable to the Floyd protests or the reopening a little later. If the percent positive on the state's Covid-19 dashboard goes down steadily after about June 19-20, it will be a pretty good indication the upsurge was due to the protests...and will not bode well for starting up concerts again.
However, if the numbers do come down in a week or so, the stock market and the rest of the country will breathe a sigh of relief that the reopening wasn't as ill-advised as some thought. That is, until the next wave in the fall.
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I don't think your assumptions are correct. If a protester gets infected, he may show symptoms 5-6 days later or he may be asymptomatic. Either way, he can infect others he has contact with, and then they take 5-6 days to show symptoms. And so on.