Quote:
Originally Posted by JoelJohnson
The right metric is deaths over total outcomes. Until we know the outcome of those that tested positive for COVID-19, we don't know much. They might recover or they might die, we have to wait to find out. But if we know the total number of deaths and the number of recovered then we can determine the death rate.
If we go with about 3,000 deaths and 23,000 recovered in Fl, then we get 23,000 + 3,000 = 26,000 (Total outcomes). 3,000 / 26,000 = .115 or 11.5%.
So about 12 people out of 100 die.
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Might want to contact the CDC about your calculations. Their current overall death rate for all age groups is 0.4%. The only age group over 1% death rate is over 65 at 1.3%
When you include CDC projected 35% additional asymptomatic cases, the overall death rate for all ages is .26%
COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios | CDC
CDC's Latest 'Best Estimate' of COVID Death Rate Is 13 Times Lower Than Initial WHO Claim