Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Where Florida's spike is coming from
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Old 06-17-2020, 08:53 AM
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LiverpoolWalrus LiverpoolWalrus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GoodLife View Post
Please cite the scientific paper that shows time between exposure to symptoms is 12 to 14 days.

The researchers found that the average time it took for symptoms to appear was 5.5 days, and the median—or midpoint by which half of the people who developed symptoms had started to feel sick—was 5.1 days...and 97.5 percent had developed symptoms within 11.5 days.[/url]
I admire your perseverance on this timeline thing. OK, we accept the average and median are 5.5 and 5.1 days respectively. But as you know, by definition, there are going to be x number of days that fall outside that average and median. Your own post cites up to 12 days (rounded). Given that the esteemed JH cites up to 12 days, I'll go with that.

A median of 5.1 days means there are as many days less than 5 as there are days more than 5. The fewest number of days for symptoms to occur is 2 according to what I've read, so adding 3 to 5.1 gives you 8.1 days. For fans of medians, I'd say a good estimate of onset of symptoms would be 2 to 8 days.
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