Quote:
Originally Posted by GoodLife
As these graphs from Sean Trende of Real Clear Politics show, there is no second wave of coronavirus happening. There have been some spikes in a few places, but overall the trends look very good. 70% of the spike in Florida is located in 6-7 counties. These graphs show national data. The only one going up is testing.
Upper left graph = rolling average of new case
Upper right graph = rolling average of tests
Lower left graph = rolling average positive test rate
Lower right graph = rolling average of deaths
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Call me dense, but I don't understand the point you are making. You talk about the data from Florida where 70% of the cases are from fewer than 10 counties, but then don't tell us that 70% of the population is in those counties so the data is exactly what should be expected in an uptick. Disease numbers are the highest where people live, duh.
And then you show graphs from national data whereas our experience with the first spike was that Covid hit population centers harder than rural areas. Florida data is available and it shows that in the last week the number of tests is NOT going up but the number of positive tests is, as well as a reported increase in hospital and ICU bed occupancy.
Here are the graphs for Florida. One shows the number of positive antigen [swab] tests for each day for the last 30 days. There is a very dramatic increase in the number of positive tests over the last 2 weeks. The other graph shows the number of tests done. You can see that more tests were done in the week labelled beginning May 1st than in any recent week. More tests is NOT the explanation for more positive results. There is of course a flaw in the charts on the website. If you go to the Dashboard and hover over the line labeled 5/1 it tells you that the line represents the tests done in the week ending May 17th, not May 1st. So the last bar on the chart is not the fourth week of May rather it is week of June 7th.