Quote:
Originally Posted by bmit16
14 days is the max incubation time. George Floyd died on May 25th Memorial day. The protest started the next night May 26th. The op said the spikes started occuring around June 12th That is 18 days after the protest. The protest got more intense in the days following his death and are still going. I would say it is reasonable to assume the protest are playing a much bigger part than people want to admit.
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Some abstract math-type verbiage (meaning - no numbers, you can look it up if you need to):
Memorial Day: typical day for LARGE GROUPS of people to gather and celebrate stuff. BIG huge family day, neighborhood cookout day, store sales day.
The days after Memorial Day - those are the days where everyone who became infected ON Memorial Day return to their usual businesses of living life, and infect anyone who wasn't at their celebration days before.
THIS recent Memorial Day: the same time that some of the restrictions were lifted and people were given the go-ahead to "not stay at home."
Potential result: people who were infected on Memorial Day, spread their virus exponentially that day, because it was Memorial Day. And then the lifted restrictions allowed everyone who became infected, to infect other people.
Thus - the spike.
Again - protests played a part. But the most prevalent spikes have occurred, at least in Florida, primarily in counties where the spikes were prevalent prior to George Floyd's death. And so - those spikes would've happened even if George Floyd didn't get killed.
Maybe not AS MUCH as they did since he was killed. But they still would've happened.
The spikes were caused by the state relaxing restrictions and people refusing to social distance - at WHATEVER venue they attended.