[GoodLife]

Originally Posted by LiverpoolWalrus

Here is the percent positive (rounded to the nearest whole number) among people being tested the first time, from the FL Department of Health. Data are from June 7 to June 20 from a sample of Florida counties where no protests were held.

This is the number of positive cases divided by the number of tests that day. It's considered a much better metric than the number of positive cases.

Highlands: 4, 0, 6, 4, 6, 10, 1, 2, 10, 8, 2, 4, 11, 10
Flagler: 0, 0, 5, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 3, 5, 3, 6
Wakulla: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 0, 3, 5, 1, 0
Hamilton: 0, 5, 18, 9, 15, 29, 0, 17, 6, 17, 17, 29, 19, 20

Even right here in the Villages in protest-free Sumter County it looks like something might be happening, but it's too soon to say:
0, 1, 3, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 3, 10, 2

Source: Home | Florida Department of Health COVID-19 Outbreak

I've never said that protests are the source for 100% of the surge. I did find reports and photos of smaller protests in Highlands and Flagler counties. What we know for sure is that the median age for new cases in Florida has dropped from 55 to 35 recently, so the demographic for the surges is younger people. They feel pretty invulnerable to this disease because they are, several studies have shown that 60-70% of cases under age 60 are asymptomatic, they don't get sick, don't go to hospitals, and they die at a rate less than the common flu.

I also think part of the surge is coming from workplace testing. Average age for people who work is 42, and many businesses are testing their employees as they open up.




Marion County has had a spike in new cases for the last 3 days. Median age of those cases for each day? 24 30 24