Quote:
Originally Posted by GoodLife
Here's a nifty graph showing the surge in Florida while death rates plummet.
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I don't understand the graph. You didn't post a link to where you found it. What is the actual data, not offset data? Why did the author of this graph offset death by 7 to 28 days, moving the recorded death to later than it occurred or was reported? Is the death date the date of death or the date it was entered into the system. This is not a trivial issue. Florida has been having over 40 new deaths a day for a couple weeks. This upswing is not shown on the chart you present because deaths are not being shown. You know if you plot the deaths 180 days offset the death line would be at zero. It would even look better.
A chart
https://tallahasseereports.com/2020/...avirus-battle/ with a line for past 7 days average looks entirely different than the one you presented. And deaths in Florida from Covid seem to be taking days to weeks to show up in the data. The reports are lagging well behind the death date.
It is certainly true that the improved availability of testing is finding many many more people with less severe symptoms. I don't see any data reporting the symptom profile of those being tested but I doubt that 100,000 people with NO symptoms are being tested daily in Florida. And it is also true that with the average age of people having positive tests being in the 30s for several weeks, the final severity of illness is lower, for some, for most, but not for all.