Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoosierb4
GoodLife, I do hope that you are right....but, I'd wait a couple of weeks before claiming the prize. The last couple of days have been influenced by the tropical storm, with some testing sites closed down. That will continue to be the case for a few more days. There are still a lot of places in Florida, and in the country, where we are nowhere near the number (whatever it is) that is needed for herd immunity .
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The downward trend started almost 3 weeks ago. I noticed it two weeks ago and waited till yesterday to see if it was continuing down. Because of Isaias testing numbers went down for 3 days but that has little effect on the three week trend. The percent positive of total tests is also trending downward. This number is actually probably 1-2 points high because many labs continue posting 100% positives and no negatives, which skews the percent positive number higher. But it is going down anyway. Notice that yesterday, will full testing resumed, positivity was just over 8%
As I noted in the OP, herd immunity is geographical so I advised Villagers to continue staying safe. I am still a modified Howard Hughes and since this may take another 2 months to wind down here in Florida, plan on doing the same.
The surges in Texas and Arizona look to have started falling as well. We just have to be patient.