
09-02-2020, 11:27 AM
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Sage
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Join Date: May 2019
Location: Village of McClure
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Velvet
Since it was impossible to sell the idea that we test too much to most people, the new “discovery” is that the Covid tests are too sensitive:
“On Thursday, the United States recorded 45,604 new coronavirus cases, according to a database maintained by The Times. If the rates of contagiousness in Massachusetts and New York were to apply nationwide, then perhaps only 4,500 of those people may actually need to isolate and submit to contact tracing.
One solution would be to adjust the cycle threshold used to decide that a patient is infected. Most tests set the limit at 40, a few at 37. This means that you are positive for the coronavirus if the test process required up to 40 cycles, or 37, to detect the virus.” Honolulu Star Advertiser
So that 17,000 cases we had in Florida a little while ago was probably only 1,700 if we look at it this new way.
I’m betting by October we should be approaching 0 by definition, whether or not we have a vaccine.
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aprox. Nov 5th, imo
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