[coffeebean]

Originally Posted by OrangeBlossomBaby

Yeah if it's 10,000 people (supposedly there might have been more but let's just stick with the nice round number)...

and even if the ACTUAL rate is 2% and the 4% is overblown (which some people like to claim, so let's roll with it)...

Then that'd be 2 out of every 100 people testing positive. So that'd be 20 out of every 1000, and 200 out of every 10,000.

So you'd be looking at around 200 people testing positive for the coronavirus at that rally of 10,000 people.

And those 200 people are now all clumped together with 9,800 of their closest friends, happily spreading the virus to 2% of 9,800 people. And THOSE 196 people (2% of 9,800) are now spreading it to ... and you can do the math.

Suffice it to say, at the end of the month, you're looking at another 1000 or more people who WOULD test positive for the coronavirus, IF they got tested. But since many don't show any symptoms, they might not bother getting tested. Instead, they'll spread it to the next batch of 10,000 people, who will spread it to the next batch of 9,800 people, and so on, and so on.

This is how, and why, there are spikes in the virus positivity rates again.

I get it. It's like a pyramid scheme. Unfortunately, there are those that do not understand your point and have no clue how this virus spread is a numbers game. I wish to hell I was clueless like that! Then I could go out and enjoy life without worrying about wearing a mask and no worries about social distancing.

Oh, to live a pre-Covid life again. Ahhhhhhh. But alas. I do get the numbers game. Damn!!!!