[QUOTE=Bill14564;1861930]
Quote:
Originally Posted by Advogado
That's simply a ridiculous statement.
Look at the numbers. With 77K deaths in 10 months of 2020 that's an average of 7.7K/month. Two months to go would be 15K more deaths for a total of 92K for all of 2020. Slightly (4K) more than 2019. And all that *IF* they meet the 7.7K average for the next two months. Their Covid deaths just hit 40/day the other day which would be 1.2K if that holds.
Yes, Sweden's deaths might slightly exceed 2019 but probably not 2018. To say their 2020 deaths will far exceed 2019, based on these numbers, is just ridiculous.
Sweden does lead the Nordic countries in deaths. If this was planned, Sweden did this in order to keep their economy open and their people free. I wonder how the other Nordic countries are faring in that regard.
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You don't take into a account that COVID-19 didn't really hit and Swedes start to die until the spring of 2020. Therefore, your use of the average monthly death rate to project deaths for the rest of the year is, to use your term, "ridiculous".
The fact is that Sweden's herd-immunity approach is generally regarded as a failure, which has given Sweden the highest death rate of any Nordic country. Now, cold weather is setting in and COVID cases are soaring, so, as I stated, your use of the average monthly death rate as a projection is invalid. In fact, Sweden has had to impose extraordinary restrictions, including banning gatherings of more than 8 people. See, e.g.:
Bloomberg - Are you a robot?