Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - rec center masks
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Old 11-20-2020, 11:36 AM
jimjamuser jimjamuser is offline
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Originally Posted by Dana1963 View Post
This past week in THE VILLAGES Tuesday 15, Wednesday 13, Thursday 13 highest consistent testing to date. Did we have a spreader event? Don't wish anyone to be hospitalized. Do we have contract tracing in The Villages?
That is a good question about contact tracing. I feel that MIGHT(?) work in The Villages, but only now and for a short time because The Villages is for some reason a lucky outlier for CV compared to the overall US. Which, yesterday recorded an all-time high of 193,000 cases of deadly CV. I feel that when most all parts of the US are one big "hot spot", that contact tracing is NOT possible. I feel that, unfortunately, the contract tracing method is like "closing the barn door after the horse has left the barn"! The overall US lost that capability around March or the 1st wave hitting us.

Here is something to watch out for in the near future.......For some reason unknown to me, Canada celebrates Thanksgiving several weeks earlier than we in the US do. If you pull up a graph of Canada's cases, you will find that 2 to 3 weeks after THEIR Thanksgiving they had a BIG spike in Cases! This gives a proof-positive visual example of why indoor gatherings of non-regular household people can be a LARGE spreader of CV cases in national aggregate. It also applies as a warning to TV landers to NOT go over to their neighbor's house for dinner or drinks. And to NOT go to bars with or without masks. Overall it proves that socialization indoors IS dangerous to yourself and your friends. Don't do it!

You can see this graph with your own eyes and it is logical (and has nothing WHATSOEVER to do with DRACONIAN countries). You either take this fact as a hint or you put it out of your mind and choose risk, pain, and possible DEATH. Another example to think about is, why do Wisconsin and their neighboring states have about 36% positive cases? My answer is - the popularity of indoor bars. There is little to do outside in Fall and Winter in Wisconsin, and the Dakotas. I hate to say this but churches are INDOOR gatherings of diverse, non-nuclear family type people. I wonder if any social scientist has studied the effect of high numbers of churches in various rural and urban settings?