Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnsocat
Here's some fun facts from CDC website:
Death rate in U.S. in 2018 and 2019 averages 7.8 million. With less than 2 months in 2020 death rate is 7.4 million.
Average recovery rate from Covid is 99%.
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So using your numbers the average number of deaths per month in 2020 is about 700,000. Adding that to the 7.4M so far will make 8.1M for the entire year or about 300,000 higher than 2018 or 2019. At the current rate there should be about 300,000 Covid deaths by the end of the year. Your numbers align with what we are seeing.
You might also check your average recovery rate. The last information I could find puts the death rate in the US at about 2% which would mean a survival rate of 98%. Not everyone will have long-lasting effects but some will which means that depending on how you define "recovery" that rate is something less than 98%.
There is far too much misinformation and misleading "facts" being thrown around.