Quote:
Originally Posted by vermonster
from the front page of the Daily Sun, 29179 deaths in FL/1821937 x 100 = 1.6%.
Moreover, given that deaths lag infections, the death rate is probably closer to 2%.
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The number you are using as the denominator, 1821937, is the reported number of COVID cases in Florida.
Almost all deaths are reported though they are somewhat delayed. However the CDC says that only about 1 in 5 infections are reported (
Estimated Disease Burden of COVID-19 | CDC ). So 1821937 x 4.6 is a better estimate of the number of actual cases in Florida.
And along with that a better estimate of the fatality rate in Florida is:
100 x 29179 / (1821937 x 4.6 )
Which works out to about 0.4%, or 99.6% survival rate.