Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Will we hit herd immunity?
View Single Post
 
Old 03-20-2021, 08:05 AM
tuccillo tuccillo is offline
Soaring Eagle member
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 2,101
Thanks: 4
Thanked 411 Times in 218 Posts
Default

Moderna trial results. While it has been some time since I had statistics as an undergrad, I believe the correct interpretation of 95% effectiveness level (what Moderna reported) is that your probability of becoming infected is reduced by 20x. It isn't entirely clear to me whether a "positive" result in the Moderna trial required evidence of "disease", which I will call the observable symptoms of an infection, and a positive PCR test or if simply the detection of symptomless infection by a PCR test was sufficient for a "positive" result. Regardless, since they reported statistical results you are looking at probabilities.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Byte1 View Post
Where did you get that information?

Last edited by tuccillo; 03-20-2021 at 08:13 AM.