
04-02-2021, 08:39 AM
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Sage
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Join Date: Jan 2008
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tmarkwald
So, you are inferring that if nobody got vaccinated, 100% of the population would get infected.
Simply not true. 95% effective means 5 out of 100 are susceptible to exposure.
We know that of those susceptible, 95% will not get it, and of the 5% that will get it, 98% will survive.
The math gets rather long but of a sampling of 50,000, 2500 are susceptible
Of that 2500, 100 will get Covid.
Of that 100, more than 98 will survive
So effectively, 1 in 50,000 will not survive....
That's the math...
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See above. You do not understand how effectiveness is calculated so please until you do stop trying to tell people "that's the math". Efficacy has nothing to do with susceptible.
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