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Old 05-15-2021, 08:22 AM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is offline
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Originally Posted by tuccillo View Post
Here are the facts. The number of deaths in calendar year 2020 are still provisional numbers. However, the CDC is estimating the number of excess deaths for calendar year 2020 at over 300K. Excess deaths is the number of deaths over what is expected. The excess deaths in 2020 are clearly COVID related, either directly or indirectly. The current 500K number (of COVID deaths) includes 4-5 months in 2021 so it is obviously in excess of the calendar year 2020 numbers.
Did your 300K number come from this page? That estimate was from January until October 3. Add 58 days at 700 average deaths and 31 days at 1,500 average deaths and you get close to 400,000 for the year.

Using the data at the bottom of this CDC page (data here) you can see that there were 583,877 more deaths in 2020 than in 2019. While some of this data is still preliminary, it is from actual counts and not estimations.
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