Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Is the current "spiking" of Covis "cases" acceptable to anti vaxers?
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Old 07-13-2021, 07:34 PM
GrumpyOldMan GrumpyOldMan is offline
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Originally Posted by Swoop View Post
I just read the article. Not once was the word spike used. They say that they have noticed an increase in positive tests. No indication of the percentage increase. Yesterday they had 690 new cases in the entire state. When dealing in small numbers a small aberration can indicate an increase. But nothing indicates a “spike”…
I agree, the word "spike" appears to be a clickbait usage.

As near as I can tell reading a few articles, the intent is not to say there has been a LARGE number of cases, but that there has been a significant change in which virus is causing the current cases. Meaning, the Delta (or Delta+) variant is responsible for more than half of the recent cases, where previously it was responsible for only one or two cases.

So, while the use of the word "spike" is sensationalistic, the idea is that the Delta virus is rising. If it is not prevented by the vaccine, then we could see an exponential growth of it, which is what happened with the original variant before the measures were taken to slow it down.

That makes reporting difficult. If they say nothing and in 3 or 4 months we are seeing thousands of deaths per day again, then they screwed up, and if in a few months we don't see thousands of deaths, but it fizzles, then they are guilty of spreading panic.

A classic damned if you do and dammed if you don't.

The experts are taking a more cautious approach saying it's too soon to make predictions, but it is certainly something to be monitored.