Talk of The Villages Florida - View Single Post - Is the current "spiking" of Covis "cases" acceptable to anti vaxers?
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Old 07-14-2021, 08:40 AM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is offline
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Originally Posted by lpkruege1 View Post
Funny you should ask. If it saves one life. What about the lives the vaccines take? What about the real health consequences some people are susceptible to? Everyone has to make their own choice to get vaccinated. CDC says there is 0.65 % mortality rate for those infected with Covid 19. Yet there are those that have died or developed severe reactions to the vaccine. How many lives lost to vaccination is acceptable to you?
F.D.A. Attaches Warning of Rare Nerve Syndrome to Johnson & Johnson Covid Vaccine
I have not seen that 0.65% number, the last number I have seen and the number I get when I do the math is closer to 1.5% or 1.8%.

You seem to use that 0.65% number as a low number; it really isn't, but for the moment let's take it as low. You then include that article to question whether the vaccines are safe. In the article it says that the syndrome has occurred 10 times as frequently after having the J&J vaccine than is generally expected. "10 times" sounds frighteningly high but what are the numbers? The article says that 100 cases have developed after 12.8M injections. My calculator says that the occurrence of the syndrome in those vaccinated with the J&J vaccine is approximately 0.00078% or about 1,000 times LESS than your low number for the COVID death rate.

So take your pick, one case of a possibly serious syndrome out of every 100,000 injections or 1 permanent death out of every 100 infections.

Even the article you posted has this statement:
... “They’ll say, ‘Aha, see, I was right.’ But they’re not right.”

The risk is low enough, he added, that “for people trying to make a rational decision, this should not influence their decision to get vaccinated.”
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Why do people insist on making claims without looking them up first, do they really think no one will check? Proof by emphatic assertion rarely works.
Confirmation bias is real; I can find any number of articles that say so.


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