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Old 07-26-2021, 10:30 PM
Bill14564 Bill14564 is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Swoop View Post
1 in 13,000 - .007% of vaccinated people will get the virus according to the figures on the CDC’s website. But if those who are vaccinated, are typically asymptomatic with Covid, then they wouldn’t be tested. So how would they know that they had it? Only those who are tested regularly, regardless of symptoms, would more accurately portray the actual percentage of breakthrough cases. That’s what made the 20% positive results of the fully vaccinated NY Yankees so interesting…
And now is when those who want to blindly believe everything the CDC says, will blame those positives on faulty test results…
Whatever fits the narrative…
If the 1:13,000 is based on data gathered when there had been only 84M vaccinated then it needs to be updated. I believe someone else has already pointed out that there were caveats given at the time.

I believe the initial trials of the vaccine defined cases as symptomatic or possibly even hospitalized in order to determine effectiveness. You can't prove those results wrong by redefining cases as positive test results.

It would be interesting to know what the hospitalization rate is among the vaccinated population. I believe the CDC is collecting that information now, I just don't have the interest in looking it up at the moment. EDIT: Actually, it was easier than I anticipated. As of July 19 the CDC has counted 5,914 hospitalizations or deaths out of 161M vaccinated people or about 1:27,000. Further, the notes on the CDC data suggest that many of these were asymptomatic and were only detected because the individuals were hospitalized for some other reason.

As for the 20%, there are two problems with drawing conclusions from that. One, those results are based on positive test results and not symptomatic illness and; two, the sample size is far too small. You can't look at non-random group of 30 people and draw a conclusion about 164M.
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Last edited by Bill14564; 07-26-2021 at 10:40 PM.